Rockdale Ilinden 2-3 Blacktown City Demons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

Rockdale Ilinden
2-3 HT 0-1
Blacktown City Demons
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City Demons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.46
No
55%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
64%
-18.9pp
55%
BTTS No
36%
+18.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rockdale Ilinden v Blacktown City Demons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.81/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.88
+14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.6 Crosses 22.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City Demons Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Blacktown City Demons
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.98 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
343 Passes 357
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 HT 1-1 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
14.05.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 1-2 HT 1-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
22.05.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 0-3 HT 0-1 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
13.06.2021 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-4 HT 1-2 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
28.03.2021 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 4-1 HT 1-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
23.08.2020 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-0 HT 0-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City Demons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blacktown City Demons nicked a narrow win over Rockdale Ilinden 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Blacktown City Demons found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blacktown City Demons led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 2.33 for Blacktown City Demons.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City Demons?

Rockdale Ilinden 2-3 Blacktown City Demons in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs Blacktown City Demons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blacktown City Demons win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 34%, draw 26%, Blacktown City Demons 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blacktown City Demons) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blacktown City Demons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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