Lambton Jaffas 2-1 Weston Bears — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
35%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
57%
-15.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
21%
+13.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lambton Jaffas EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.34/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.66
-36% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lambton Jaffas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Weston Bears
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 3-3 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNPL
11.03.2023 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 0-3 HT 0-2 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
04.06.2022 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 1-1 HT 1-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
15.04.2022 Weston Bears Weston Bears 0-2 HT 0-0 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNSW
05.06.2021 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 4-1 HT 2-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
28.03.2021 Weston Bears Weston Bears 1-7 HT 0-4 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNPL
POST-MATCH Lambton Jaffas vs Weston Bears
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lambton Jaffas squeezed past Weston Bears 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lambton Jaffas as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lambton Jaffas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Lambton Jaffas and 1.50 for Weston Bears.

What was the final score of Lambton Jaffas vs Weston Bears?

Lambton Jaffas 2-1 Weston Bears in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lambton Jaffas vs Weston Bears?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lambton Jaffas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lambton Jaffas 41%, draw 24%, Weston Bears 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lambton Jaffas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lambton Jaffas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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