Corinthians vs Criciuma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Criciuma — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Criciuma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Criciuma
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR1
0-2
HT 0-2
Corinthians
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Corinthians
BR1
Corinthians 2-1 Criciuma — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians squeezed past Criciuma 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Corinthians had 54% of the ball to Criciuma's 46%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.72 to 1.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Criciuma.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Corinthians and 0.33 for Criciuma.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Criciuma?
Corinthians 2-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Criciuma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 42%, draw 27%, Criciuma 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.