Envigado vs La Equidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Envigado v La Equidad — Team-Based Signals
Envigado vs La Equidad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
La Equidad
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Envigado
KOL
0-3
HT 0-2
La Equidad
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
Envigado 2-1 La Equidad — Actual Match Statistics
Envigado edged past La Equidad 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Envigado made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Envigado had 45% of the ball to La Equidad's 55%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.47 to 1.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Envigado and 1.17 for La Equidad.
What was the final score of Envigado vs La Equidad?
Envigado 2-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Envigado vs La Equidad?
Before kick-off our model rated an La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Envigado 34%, draw 30%, La Equidad 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.