Aguilas Doradas 1-2 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.21/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.04
-1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.4 Crosses 12.6
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY America de Cali
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 0.65
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
248 Passes 331
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
21.09.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-2 HT 2-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
12.04.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-3 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
01.12.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
06.11.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 2-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
10.08.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 2-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1-2
AWAY America de Cali
0.31 xG 0.85
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
337 Passes 172
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali nicked a narrow win over Aguilas Doradas 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; America de Cali found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 63% of the ball to America de Cali's 37%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.31 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.00 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs America de Cali?

Aguilas Doradas 1-2 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 35%, draw 32%, America de Cali 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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