America de Cali 0-1 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.54/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.11
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
15.8 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.52 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
310 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-2 HT 2-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
12.04.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-3 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
01.12.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
06.11.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 2-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
10.08.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 2-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
13.02.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 2-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
0-1
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.81 xG 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
361 Passes 161
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
34 Box Touches 5
34 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas edged past America de Cali 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was America de Cali at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, America de Cali had 65% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 35%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.81 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for America de Cali and 1.67 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Aguilas Doradas?

America de Cali 0-1 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 41%, draw 29%, Aguilas Doradas 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (America de Cali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
21 Jan 2024
00:00 Once Caldas vs Boyaca Chico Analysis →
02:10 Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF Analysis →