Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Fortaleza CEIF
KOL
Deportes Tolima 1-2 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza CEIF squeezed past Deportes Tolima 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 64% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 36%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 3.24 to 1.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportes Tolima 1-2 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 47%, draw 28%, Fortaleza CEIF 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.