Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-2 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.2pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.7pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.23/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.62
+47% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
18.3 Crosses 15.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.47 xG 2.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
381 Passes 366
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 4-2 HT 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
10.09.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
25.06.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
28.05.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-0 HT 2-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
02.10.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
28.08.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 2-2 HT 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
0-2
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.99 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
304 Passes 310
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence beat Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Charlotte Independence found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 50% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 50%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.99 to 1.07 — on chances, Chattanooga Red Wolves could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Independence led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 2.50 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-2 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 35%, draw 33%, Charlotte Independence 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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