Levski Sofia 2-1 Dunav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 Jul 2026

📅17/07/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.16
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
7%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.75
No
57%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
2%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
2%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
82%
-8.8pp
21%
Draw
13%
+7.6pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.4pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunav EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
350 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Dunav
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunav BULK
22.11.2023 Dunav 1-3 HT 1-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
2-1
AWAY Dunav
25 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Dunav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia edged past Dunav 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 25-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.50 for Dunav.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Dunav?

Levski Sofia 2-1 Dunav in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Dunav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 73%, draw 21%, Dunav 7%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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