Hearts 2-1 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jul 2026

Hearts
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
📅17/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Hearts vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
– Crosses 9.0
– Yellow Cards 1.4

Hearts 2-1 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
2-1
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts edged past Rayo Vallecano 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Hearts made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Rayo Vallecano?

Hearts 2-1 Rayo Vallecano in the Friendlies on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hearts 38%, draw 28%, Rayo Vallecano 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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