17/07/2026
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Motherwell vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
23%
Draw
23%
43%
Away Win
54%
47%
Under 2.5
40%
53%
Over 2.5
60%
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
42%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motherwell v Genk — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Motherwell
EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY
Genk
EU Bookmakers 58%
-32% /
-32%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+32% /
+32%
1.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.10/0.05
-15%
/
-18%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-37%
/
+150%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
250 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
310 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Motherwell 3-4 Genk — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Motherwell
3-4
AWAY
Genk
8
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
7
6
Corners
5
FAQ
Motherwell vs Genk
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Genk edged past Motherwell 4-3 away from home in the Friendlies on 17 Jul 2026. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.
On the day, shots finished 8-12.
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Genk?
Motherwell 3-4 Genk in the Friendlies on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Genk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 34%, draw 23%, Genk 43%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Genk)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
17 Jul 2026