Alloa Athletic 1-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.29/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.66
-24% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
25.07.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-3 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKLK
14.11.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 4-2 HT 0-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
18.11.2017 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKK
11.03.2017 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
31.12.2016 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-4 HT 1-3 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
05.11.2016 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 4-1 HT 3-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic nicked a narrow win over Stenhousemuir 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.33 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Stenhousemuir?

Alloa Athletic 1-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 50%, draw 25%, Stenhousemuir 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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