Arbroath 0-3 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

Arbroath
0-3 HT 0-0
Kelty Hearts
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.24
2-3 Goals
33%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 31% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arbroath v Kelty Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -2%
0.80/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.24
-51% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
24.07.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 3-2 HT 1-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKLK
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts ran out comfortable winners over Arbroath 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arbroath at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts?

Arbroath 0-3 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 43%, draw 31%, Kelty Hearts 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Arbroath), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arbroath) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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