Eibar vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Eibar v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Eibar vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Eibar
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
İS2
1-2
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Eibar
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
Eibar
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
İS2
Eibar 1-0 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
Eibar nicked a narrow win over CD Castellon 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Eibar had 36% of the ball to CD Castellon's 64%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.68 to 1.09 — on chances, CD Castellon could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Castellon led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eibar and 1.50 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Eibar vs CD Castellon?
Eibar 1-0 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Eibar vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Eibar 53%, draw 21%, CD Castellon 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.