Racing Ferrol 2-2 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.51
Over 2.5
29%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.06
No
64%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.57
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
17%
4.76
X/2
12%
6.24
X/X
12%
3.45
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
5.08
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+8.3pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-8.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.6pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
1.00/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.21
+11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.9 Crosses 18.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Malaga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.04.2008 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
17.11.2007 Malaga Malaga 4-2 HT 0-2 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
2-2
AWAY Malaga
2.36 xG 1.35
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
253 Passes 348
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol and Malaga shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 44% of the ball to Malaga's 56%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.36 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Malaga led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Ferrol and 2.00 for Malaga.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Malaga?

Racing Ferrol 2-2 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 37%, draw 31%, Malaga 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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