Biel-Bienne 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Biel-Bienne EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Biel-Bienne
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
27.09.2015 Biel-Bienne Biel-Bienne 2-2 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
23.08.2015 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-4 HT 0-0 Biel-Bienne Biel-Bienne İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Biel-Bienne
2-1
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Biel-Bienne vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Biel-Bienne nicked a narrow win over Neuchatel Xamax 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Neuchatel Xamax at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Biel-Bienne had 42% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 58%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Biel-Bienne had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Biel-Bienne and 1.50 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Biel-Bienne vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Biel-Bienne 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland - Cup on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Biel-Bienne vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Biel-Bienne 30%, draw 23%, Neuchatel Xamax 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✓ Over 2.5
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