Mendrisio-Stabio 1-4 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
21%
8.11
Away
64%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
4%
+11.0pp
21%
Draw
8%
+12.5pp
64%
Away Win
88%
-23.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mendrisio-Stabio EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 94%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.96/2.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.76
+31% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +0%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
262 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mendrisio-Stabio
1-4
AWAY Luzern
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mendrisio-Stabio vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern ran out comfortable winners over Mendrisio-Stabio 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Luzern as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mendrisio-Stabio had 36% of the ball to Luzern's 64%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Mendrisio-Stabio vs Luzern?

Mendrisio-Stabio 1-4 Luzern in the Switzerland - Cup on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mendrisio-Stabio vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Mendrisio-Stabio 16%, draw 21%, Luzern 64%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSVK More Switzerland - Cup
17 Aug 2024
17:00 Baden vs Rapperswil-Jona Analysis →
20:30 Biel-Bienne vs Neuchatel Xamax Analysis →
21:10 Delemont vs Sion Analysis →