Vestri 2-0 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.8pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 48%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
0.67/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.91
-30% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
30.0 Crosses 21.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
0W-1D-2L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
2.21 xG 1.40
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
181 Passes 325
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-2 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
26.02.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 6-1 Vestri Vestri İZLK
20.02.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 6-1 HT 5-0 Vestri Vestri İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
2-0
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.68 xG 3.02
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
234 Passes 555
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vestri vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri got the better of KR Reykjavik 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was KR Reykjavik at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vestri had 32% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 68%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 1.68 to 3.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured KR Reykjavik.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vestri and 4.67 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Vestri vs KR Reykjavik?

Vestri 2-0 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vestri 30%, draw 27%, KR Reykjavik 43%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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