KR Reykjavik 2-2 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
-15.1pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 17%
-14% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.55/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.12
-38% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
27.1 Crosses 17.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Vestri
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 6-1 Vestri Vestri İZLK
20.02.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 6-1 HT 5-0 Vestri Vestri İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
2-2
AWAY Vestri
1.40 xG 2.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
325 Passes 181
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik and Vestri shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KR Reykjavik at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 60% of the ball to Vestri's 40%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.40 to 2.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals for KR Reykjavik and 1.00 for Vestri.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Vestri?

KR Reykjavik 2-2 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 53%, draw 24%, Vestri 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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