İA Akranes 0-1 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.4pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 66%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.23/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.12
+5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.3
Crosses 23.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZLK
09.07.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-2 HT 2-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
24.04.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-0 HT 2-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
16.10.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZK
05.07.2021 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
08.05.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
0-1
AWAY Vikingur R.
0.40 xG 2.32
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
120 Passes 374
52% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. nicked a narrow win over İA Akranes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İA Akranes had 33% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 67%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.40 to 2.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vikingur R.'s control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for İA Akranes and 1.50 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Vikingur R.?

İA Akranes 0-1 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 26%, draw 25%, Vikingur R. 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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