Valur 2-2 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.5pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
2.17/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.87
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
32.7 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.58 xG 1.10
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
459 Passes 204
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
41 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
26.08.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2 HT 1-2 Valur Valur İZL
02.06.2023 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
03.08.2022 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
06.05.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 1-0 Valur Valur İZL
01.07.2021 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
2-2
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.16 xG 2.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 7
280 Passes 275
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Valur vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur and FH Hafnarfjordur shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Valur at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Valur had 51% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 49%, shots finished 11-24, expected goals 1.16 to 2.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Valur and 1.17 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Valur vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Valur 2-2 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Valur 43%, draw 26%, FH Hafnarfjordur 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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