Union Espanola 3-0 Cobreloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.69/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.97
+14% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -53%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
20.1 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Cobreloa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.47 xG 0.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
285 Passes 240
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
15.03.2015 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
20.10.2014 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-1 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
14.02.2014 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
3-0
AWAY Cobreloa
2.90 xG 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
26 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
373 Passes 249
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Cobreloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola swept aside Cobreloa 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Espanola as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Union Espanola had 56% of the ball to Cobreloa's 44%, shots finished 26-12, expected goals 2.90 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Espanola and 1.00 for Cobreloa.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Cobreloa?

Union Espanola 3-0 Cobreloa in the Chile - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Cobreloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 58%, draw 21%, Cobreloa 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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