Cobreloa 1-0 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.99/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.53
+17% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.5 Crosses 21.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobreloa
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Union Espanola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
25 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
232 Passes 265
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
15.03.2015 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
20.10.2014 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-1 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
14.02.2014 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobreloa
1-0
AWAY Union Espanola
0.57 xG 0.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
257 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cobreloa vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobreloa edged past Union Espanola 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cobreloa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cobreloa had 43% of the ball to Union Espanola's 57%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.57 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Union Espanola led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cobreloa and 1.33 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Cobreloa vs Union Espanola?

Cobreloa 1-0 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobreloa vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobreloa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cobreloa 45%, draw 24%, Union Espanola 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cobreloa) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cobreloa) ✗ Over 2.5
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