Universidad Chile 1-0 O Higgins — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY O Higgins EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.23/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.20
+17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
17.5 Crosses 17.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
1W-2D-3L
AWAY O Higgins
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 Passes 222
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.08.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-5 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
22.06.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİLİK
20.02.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 0-1 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
24.07.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 1-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
01.03.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-1 HT 0-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
16.11.2021 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
1-0
AWAY O Higgins
0.73 xG 0.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
419 Passes 243
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs O Higgins
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile nicked a narrow win over O Higgins 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Universidad Chile found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 61% of the ball to O Higgins's 39%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.73 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Higgins led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.17 for O Higgins.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs O Higgins?

Universidad Chile 1-0 O Higgins in the Chile - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs O Higgins?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 37%, draw 31%, O Higgins 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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