Huachipato 2-1 Copiapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Copiapo EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.59/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.51
-9% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
26.7 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Copiapo
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.46 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
234 Passes 270
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.09.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 1-0 HT 1-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
16.04.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 1-1 HT 1-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
27.01.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 1-0 HT 0-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
23.01.2022 Copiapo Copiapo 2-3 HT 1-2 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
02.07.2018 Huachipato Huachipato 1-1 HT 1-1 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
2-1
AWAY Copiapo
1.12 xG 0.56
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
329 Passes 218
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Copiapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato squeezed past Copiapo 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Huachipato as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Huachipato had 58% of the ball to Copiapo's 42%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.12 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Huachipato had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Huachipato and 0.80 for Copiapo.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Copiapo?

Huachipato 2-1 Copiapo in the Chile - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Copiapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 55%, draw 25%, Copiapo 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huachipato) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huachipato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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