Homburg vs Hessen Kassel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Homburg v Hessen Kassel — Team-Based Signals
Homburg vs Hessen Kassel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Hessen Kassel
ALMBÖL
2-0
HT 1-0
Homburg
ALMBÖL
3-2
HT 0-2
Hessen Kassel
ALMBÖL
1-1
HT 0-0
Hessen Kassel
ALMBÖL
3-0
HT 1-0
Homburg
ALMBÖL
Homburg and Hessen Kassel shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Homburg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hessen Kassel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Homburg and 1.83 for Hessen Kassel.
What was the final score of Homburg vs Hessen Kassel?
Homburg 1-1 Hessen Kassel in the Germany - Regional League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Homburg vs Hessen Kassel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Homburg 41%, draw 28%, Hessen Kassel 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.