Al Urooba 0-0 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
7.84
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.73 — our 27% vs market 16.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 62%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.34/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.19
-11% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -13%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 85%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.0 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Nasr
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.53 xG 1.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 10
312 Passes 434
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2022 Al Urooba Al Urooba 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
26.08.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 5-0 HT 3-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Urooba and Al Nasr fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Al Nasr at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Nasr led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Urooba and 3.00 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Al Nasr?

Al Urooba 0-0 Al Nasr in the UAE - League Cup on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 25%, draw 26%, Al Nasr 49%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Nasr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ BTTS No
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