Khorfakkan 0-1 Al Sharjah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
5.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
6.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.36 — our 29% vs market 14.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.6pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 54%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.32/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.80
-7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
278 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 85%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
14.9 Crosses 21.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khorfakkan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Sharjah
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.82 xG 1.55
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
240 Passes 448
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
15.12.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 4-1 HT 2-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
17.02.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
16.12.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAELK
12.12.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAELK
01.10.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 3-0 HT 1-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khorfakkan
0-1
AWAY Al Sharjah
0.25 xG 1.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
292 Passes 360
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Khorfakkan vs Al Sharjah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sharjah nicked a narrow win over Khorfakkan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Sharjah as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Khorfakkan had 45% of the ball to Al Sharjah's 55%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.25 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sharjah led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Khorfakkan and 2.00 for Al Sharjah.

What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Al Sharjah?

Khorfakkan 0-1 Al Sharjah in the UAE - League Cup on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Al Sharjah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 25%, draw 29%, Al Sharjah 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sharjah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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