Khorfakkan 1-3 Al Sharjah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
29%
2.75
6+ Goals
16%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 56%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.19/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.96
-32% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
20.8 Crosses 19.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khorfakkan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Sharjah
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.66 xG 1.65
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
218 Passes 464
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 4-1 HT 2-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
17.02.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
16.12.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAELK
12.12.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAELK
01.10.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 3-0 HT 1-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
10.05.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 3-1 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khorfakkan
1-3
AWAY Al Sharjah
1.82 xG 2.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
288 Passes 349
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khorfakkan vs Al Sharjah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sharjah saw off Khorfakkan 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Sharjah as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Khorfakkan had 46% of the ball to Al Sharjah's 54%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.82 to 2.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sharjah led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Khorfakkan and 2.00 for Al Sharjah.

What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Al Sharjah?

Khorfakkan 1-3 Al Sharjah in the UAE - League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Al Sharjah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 26%, draw 26%, Al Sharjah 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sharjah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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