Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-0 Emirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.68
Over 2.5
60%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.22
2-3 Goals
36%
2.45
4-5 Goals
31%
2.34
6+ Goals
14%
3.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.0pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.9pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+16.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-16.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.9pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Emirates EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.83/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.11
-3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +33%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
16.0 Crosses 11.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Emirates
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.20 xG 0.73
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
532 Passes 215
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
39 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2023 Emirates Emirates 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
25.02.2022 Emirates Emirates 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
17.09.2021 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-2 HT 1-0 Emirates Emirates BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2-0
AWAY Emirates
1.04 xG 2.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 27
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 9
414 Passes 382
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 50
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Emirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi got the better of Emirates 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Jazira Abu Dhabi as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 52% of the ball to Emirates's 48%, shots finished 12-27, expected goals 1.04 to 2.66 — the balance of chances actually favoured Emirates.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 0.67 for Emirates.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Emirates?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-0 Emirates in the UAE - League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Emirates?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 61%, draw 21%, Emirates 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
20 May 2024
17:10 Khorfakkan vs Al Sharjah Analysis →