Dnepr Mogilev 2-3 Slutsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

Dnepr Mogilev
2-3 HT 0-3
Slutsk
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belarus - Premier League – 2024

Dnepr Mogilev vs Slutsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dnepr Mogilev v Slutsk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Slutsk EU Bookmakers 59%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.10/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.76
+20% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Dnepr Mogilev vs Slutsk Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Slutsk
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Slutsk Slutsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
30.09.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 HT 1-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
15.05.2022 Slutsk Slutsk 2-2 HT 2-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
29.11.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 1-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
06.06.2014 Slutsk Slutsk 1-1 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR

Dnepr Mogilev 2-3 Slutsk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
2-3
AWAY Slutsk
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Slutsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slutsk edged past Dnepr Mogilev 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slutsk as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 47% of the ball to Slutsk's 53%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 1.20 for Slutsk.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Slutsk?

Dnepr Mogilev 2-3 Slutsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Slutsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slutsk win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 26%, draw 25%, Slutsk 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slutsk) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slutsk) ✗ BTTS No
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