African Stars 1-0 Galaxy FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
43%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+13.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
43%
Away Win
63%
-19.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME African Stars EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Galaxy FC EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
234 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME African Stars
1-0
AWAY Galaxy FC
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH African Stars vs Galaxy FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

African Stars nicked a narrow win over Galaxy FC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Galaxy FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, African Stars had 42% of the ball to Galaxy FC's 58%, shots finished 5-16.

What was the final score of African Stars vs Galaxy FC?

African Stars 1-0 Galaxy FC in the CAF Champions League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for African Stars vs Galaxy FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galaxy FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split African Stars 27%, draw 30%, Galaxy FC 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Galaxy FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galaxy FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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