SC Villa vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SC Villa v Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Team-Based Signals
SC Villa 1-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Actual Match Statistics
Ethiopia Nigd Bank edged past SC Villa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had SC Villa at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, SC Villa had 47% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 53%, shots finished 6-9.
What was the final score of SC Villa vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
SC Villa 1-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the CAF Champions League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 55%, draw 23%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.