Frem 2-1 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.86
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
11%
19.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 34% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frem EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.52/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.27
+15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frem
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Middelfart
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
05.06.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 2-1 HT 1-1 Frem Frem DAN2
12.09.2020 Frem Frem 2-0 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
27.06.2020 Frem Frem 4-2 HT 3-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frem
2-1
AWAY Middelfart
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Frem vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frem nicked a narrow win over Middelfart 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Middelfart at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Frem had 43% of the ball to Middelfart's 57%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Frem had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Frem and 1.33 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of Frem vs Middelfart?

Frem 2-1 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frem vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Frem 35%, draw 22%, Middelfart 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
17 Aug 2024
15:00 Aarhus Fremad vs Naestved Analysis →