Arema Malang 0-2 Borneo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.75
Over
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
35%
4-5
17%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
16%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.0pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.2pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arema Malang The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Borneo FC The Market 40%
-24% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.77/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.39
-43% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arema Malang
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Borneo FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 Passes 346
21.04.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
06.10.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
24.07.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
20.03.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-2 HT 0-2 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
10.12.2021 Borneo FC Borneo FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
13.09.2019 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-2 HT 2-2 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
POST-MATCH Arema Malang vs Borneo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borneo FC got the better of Arema Malang 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Borneo FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arema Malang and 1.67 for Borneo FC.

What was the final score of Arema Malang vs Borneo FC?

Arema Malang 0-2 Borneo FC in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs Borneo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borneo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 31%, draw 34%, Borneo FC 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borneo FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Borneo FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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