Borneo FC 1-2 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 21 Apr 2024

Borneo FC
1-2 HT 1-1
Arema Malang
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2023/2024

Borneo FC vs Arema Malang Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borneo FC v Arema Malang — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.56/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.50
+8% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Borneo FC vs Arema Malang Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borneo FC
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Arema Malang
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 294
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
24.07.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
20.03.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-2 HT 0-2 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
10.12.2021 Borneo FC Borneo FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
13.09.2019 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-2 HT 2-2 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
POST-MATCH Borneo FC vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arema Malang edged past Borneo FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Borneo FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Borneo FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Borneo FC and 1.20 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of Borneo FC vs Arema Malang?

Borneo FC 1-2 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borneo FC vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borneo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Borneo FC 47%, draw 23%, Arema Malang 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Borneo FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Borneo FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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