Madura United 2-0 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 21 Apr 2024

Madura United
2-0 HT 2-0
PSM Makassar
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2023/2024

Madura United vs PSM Makassar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.15
Over 2.5
42%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.6
No
58%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.0pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Madura United v PSM Makassar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 31%
-19% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -2%
1.92/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.55
+24% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Madura United vs PSM Makassar Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
1W-1D-2L
AWAY PSM Makassar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
329 Passes 287
The Meetings
15.12.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
08.01.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
12.09.2021 Madura United Madura United 1-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
24.10.2019 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-0 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Madura United vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United got the better of PSM Makassar 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Madura United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Madura United and 0.75 for PSM Makassar.

What was the final score of Madura United vs PSM Makassar?

Madura United 2-0 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Madura United 49%, draw 28%, PSM Makassar 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madura United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Madura United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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