Ulsan Citizen 2-1 Chuncheon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.62
Over 2.5
34%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
58%
+8.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
42%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.36/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.91
+6% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
20.04.2024 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-0 HT 2-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
15.07.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
02.04.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Citizen edged past Chuncheon Citizen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Ulsan Citizen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 0.67 for Chuncheon Citizen.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Ulsan Citizen 2-1 Chuncheon Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 38%, draw 26%, Chuncheon Citizen 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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