Mokpo City 4-0 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.01/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.88
-11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mokpo City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
13 Corners 5
21.04.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-0 HT 2-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
16.09.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
20.05.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-0 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
17.06.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 3-1 HT 3-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
05.03.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
07.08.2021 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mokpo City cruised past Gyeongju HNP 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mokpo City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mokpo City and 0.83 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP?

Mokpo City 4-0 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mokpo City 29%, draw 30%, Gyeongju HNP 41%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5
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