Gyeongju HNP 2-0 Mokpo City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
33%
4.34
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.9
Over 2.5
38%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.0pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.3pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-1.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
49%
+13.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
51%
-13.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 17%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.58/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.86
-11% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +86%
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
445 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mokpo City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5 Corners 13
16.09.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
20.05.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-0 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
17.06.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 3-1 HT 3-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
05.03.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
07.08.2021 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
03.04.2021 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-0 HT 2-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Mokpo City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP got the better of Mokpo City 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mokpo City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.00 for Mokpo City.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Mokpo City?

Gyeongju HNP 2-0 Mokpo City in the South Kore - K3 League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Mokpo City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 54%, draw 33%, Mokpo City 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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