Changwon City 2-0 Yangpyeong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.22/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.04
-6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Yangpyeong
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.07.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 2-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
18.03.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Yangpyeong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City saw off Yangpyeong 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Changwon City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Changwon City and 1.00 for Yangpyeong.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?

Changwon City 2-0 Yangpyeong in the South Kore - K3 League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 49%, draw 23%, Yangpyeong 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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