Hwaseong vs Pocheon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hwaseong v Pocheon — Team-Based Signals
Hwaseong vs Pocheon Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Pocheon
GK3L
1-3
HT 0-1
Hwaseong
GK3L
1-2
HT 0-1
Pocheon
GK3L
1-1
HT 0-0
Hwaseong
GK3L
Pocheon ran out comfortable winners over Hwaseong 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hwaseong at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Hwaseong and 1.00 for Pocheon.
What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Pocheon?
Hwaseong 1-4 Pocheon in the South Kore - K3 League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Pocheon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 58%, draw 24%, Pocheon 17%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.