Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
20.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 24%
-67% / -67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
0.49/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.40
-72% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
Crosses 12.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 2.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
250 Passes 391
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
21.04.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 0-2 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
30.09.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
24.07.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
16.04.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 2-3 HT 0-2 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
31.08.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-3 HT 0-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
1-0
AWAY Ansan Greeners
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 0
289 Passes 610
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen squeezed past Ansan Greeners 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gimpo Citizen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 35% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 65%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 1.33 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Ansan Greeners?

Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 42%, draw 26%, Ansan Greeners 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimpo Citizen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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