Ansan Greeners 1-2 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.17/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.62
-9% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +71%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
13.2 Crosses 21.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
309 Passes 303
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 14
7 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
24.07.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
16.04.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 2-3 HT 0-2 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
31.08.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-3 HT 0-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
23.07.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 3-1 HT 0-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
29.05.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
1-2
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen edged past Ansan Greeners 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gimpo Citizen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 57% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 43%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ansan Greeners had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ansan Greeners and 1.00 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Gimpo Citizen?

Ansan Greeners 1-2 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 29%, draw 29%, Gimpo Citizen 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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