Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
4.76
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
0.96/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.12
-4% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.7 Crosses 18.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.77 xG 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
222 Passes 362
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
10.07.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 3-3 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
29.04.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 HT 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
12.04.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-3 HT 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOK
28.08.2022 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-3 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
10.07.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 4-0 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-1
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa and Jeonnam Dragons shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 42% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 58%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.67 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 39%, draw 25%, Jeonnam Dragons 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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