Anyang 1-3 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 35% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anyang EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.30/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.99
+1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.1 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anyang
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.64 xG 1.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
271 Passes 330
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 35
23 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2022 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 1-0 Anyang Anyang GKOK
26.10.2022 Anyang Anyang 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
26.05.2021 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-0 HT 0-0 Anyang Anyang GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anyang
1-3
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings beat Anyang 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Suwon Bluewings made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Anyang had 54% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 46%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Anyang and 0.67 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings?

Anyang 1-3 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anyang vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Anyang 33%, draw 29%, Suwon Bluewings 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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