Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolkheti 1913 Poti EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 31%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.51/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.89
+76% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolkheti 1913 Poti
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gagra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Gagra Gagra 2-0 HT 1-0 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti GUR
11.03.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-1 HT 1-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolkheti 1913 Poti
2-1
AWAY Gagra
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kolkheti 1913 Poti vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolkheti 1913 Poti nicked a narrow win over Gagra 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kolkheti 1913 Poti as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kolkheti 1913 Poti had 45% of the ball to Gagra's 55%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kolkheti 1913 Poti and 1.50 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Kolkheti 1913 Poti vs Gagra?

Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolkheti 1913 Poti vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolkheti 1913 Poti win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kolkheti 1913 Poti 45%, draw 25%, Gagra 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolkheti 1913 Poti) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolkheti 1913 Poti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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