Dordrecht 1-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.66
2-3 Goals
33%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
15%
6.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.92
1/2
11%
21.85
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
7%
6.59
X/2
11%
5.33
X/X
7%
6.09
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
14%
2.92
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.7pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.27/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.18
-5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
16.7 Crosses 22.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
1W-3D-2L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.78 xG 1.79
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
265 Passes 376
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-2 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
24.11.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
12.05.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
06.01.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
25.03.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-1 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
26.11.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 5-1 HT 4-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
1-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.97 xG 2.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 201
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht and ADO Den Haag couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Dordrecht had 56% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 44%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.97 to 2.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dordrecht and 2.17 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs ADO Den Haag?

Dordrecht 1-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 41%, draw 24%, ADO Den Haag 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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