Suduva 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+10.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-7.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 59%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.03/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.00
-97% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -56%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
262 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.06.2024 Suduva Suduva 2-2 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
20.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 1-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
26.08.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-6 HT 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
22.06.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
23.04.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
04.03.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-4 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
POST-MATCH Suduva vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva and Kauno Zalgiris shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Suduva and 3.00 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Suduva vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Suduva 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Suduva 29%, draw 23%, Kauno Zalgiris 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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