Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.68
Over 2.5
31%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-13.8pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.7pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
56%
+13.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
44%
-13.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.7pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.95/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.49
+17% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Suduva
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-6 HT 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
22.06.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
23.04.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
04.03.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-4 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
19.10.2022 Suduva Suduva 0-2 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
31.08.2022 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2-1
AWAY Suduva
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris nicked a narrow win over Suduva 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 52% of the ball to Suduva's 48%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.83 for Suduva.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva?

Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 43%, draw 31%, Suduva 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
20 Apr 2024
18:00 FA Siauliai vs FK Dainava Alytus Analysis →